A report released recently forecasts the volume of construction output will grow by more than 70% to $15 trillion worldwide by 2025.
The benchmark global study — the third in a series from Global Construction Perspectives (GCP) and Oxford Economics — shows the meteoric growth, which outpaces that of global GDP, will be concentrated in three countries — China, the United States and India.
“World construction markets are at a tipping point already, with 52% of all construction activity in emerging markets today,” according to GCP executive director Graham Robinson.
“We expect to see this increasing to 63% by 2025, with China and India contributing most to growth in emerging markets,” he says.
China overtook the United States to become the world’s largest construction market in 2010, and is expected to increase its global share from 18% today to 26% in 2025, despite an expected slowdown.
“China and India will need to build another 270 million new homes by 2025 — mostly affordable homes,” GCP’s Mike Betts says.
Significant opportunities have arisen for a new generation of “Asian Tigers”. Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines are becoming increasingly attractive for export-oriented manufacturing, and represent a $350 billion construction market growing at more than 6% annually.
“While China is the key market, it would be a mistake to ignore the transformations happening elsewhere in Asia, which will help boost construction in Asia Pacific,” Jeremy Leonard, director of industry services at Oxford Economics says.
India will overtake Japan as the third-largest construction market, with annual growth averaging 7.4% annually in construction expected to exceed that of China.
The construction market in Western Europe is expected to be almost 5% smaller in 2025 than its pre-recession peak in 2007, whilst North America is forecast to be almost 40% larger.
By 2050 there’ll be two billion additional city dwellers worldwide.
Sustainable urbanisation will be a major construction challenge, and the industry must strive to find innovative new products and solutions to contribute to building better cities.
For more information, visit www.globalconstruction2025.com.